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New futurology will be based on "panoptic" multiple hypothesis sets rather than on unique and isolated predictions on the future : Yes / No / Other from BG will end on 01/08/2020 09h03

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BG says Futurology is often based on an extension of a prediction and as a description of its possible consequences. As proposed in alternativehypotheses it is possible to manage multiple predictions simultaneously with the use of specialized statistical engines. (30/08/2017 09h07)

BG says read this article on "The future of futurology" in new scientist (03/09/2017 08h10)

BG says In my view, the intellectual work needed by futurology cannot be done with a reductionnist approach but rather with an integrated view. For example, many people in France predict the reduction of car driving (for the reason of gaz emission and taxes) and the increase of public transportation. I think this is unlikely because one has to take into account a wide set of evolutions: reduction of gaz emissions by cars, increasing risks of viral/bacterial epidemy, terrorist attacks, the possibility to filter the air for nanoparticles, societal changes increasing individual choices...etc. If you take into account all these trends, the initial prediction is highly dampened... (03/09/2017 08h18)



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8. Artificial intelligence: the development of AI decision and the possibility given to AIs to hold properties will lead to the dispossession by humans of any forms of belongings 589 day(s)

9. New futurology will be based on "panoptic" multiple hypothesis sets rather than on unique and isolated predictions on the future 770 day(s)

10. One of the following vocal assistant will be the first computer program to pass the Turing test without any human help. 801 day(s)

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