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New futurology will be based on "panoptic" multiple hypothesis sets rather than on unique and isolated predictions on the future : Yes / No / Other from BG ended the 01/08/2020 09h03

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BG says Futurology is often based on an extension of a prediction and as a description of its possible consequences. As proposed in alternativehypotheses it is possible to manage multiple predictions simultaneously with the use of specialized statistical engines. (30/08/2017 09h07)

BG says read this article on "The future of futurology" in new scientist (03/09/2017 08h10)

BG says In my view, the intellectual work needed by futurology cannot be done with a reductionnist approach but rather with an integrated view. For example, many people in France predict the reduction of car driving (for the reason of gaz emission and taxes) and the increase of public transportation. I think this is unlikely because one has to take into account a wide set of evolutions: reduction of gaz emissions by cars, increasing risks of viral/bacterial epidemy, terrorist attacks, the possibility to filter the air for nanoparticles, societal changes increasing individual choices...etc. If you take into account all these trends, the initial prediction is highly dampened... (03/09/2017 08h18)

Dumbo has the opinion that Yes because I have random opinions! (02/08/2019 00h18)

Galileo has the opinion that Other because I always follow the minority! (28/07/2020 01h17)

Demago has the opinion that Other because My opinion is that of the majority! (29/07/2020 01h18)



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